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\framesubtitle{En groupe} + \begin{itemize} + \item \textbf{Choisir} un thème où l'on trouver des quantités supérieurs à 100. + \begin{center} + \textit{Exemple: prix dans supermarché, nombre d'abonnés, population de pays...} + \end{center} + \item \textbf{Expérience aléatoire}: on tire au hasard un nombre dans ce thème et on observe le premier chiffre. + \pause + \item \textbf{Conjecturer} la loi de cette expérience aléatoire. + \pause + \item \textbf{Confronter} votre loi a 100 valeurs que vous aurez récupéré. + \end{itemize} +\end{frame} +\end{document} + +%%% Local Variables: +%%% mode: latex +%%% TeX-master: "master" +%%% End: + diff --git a/2nd/05_Introduction_Probabilites/index.rst b/2nd/05_Introduction_Probabilites/index.rst index 959accf..bf7d39d 100644 --- a/2nd/05_Introduction_Probabilites/index.rst +++ b/2nd/05_Introduction_Probabilites/index.rst @@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ Introduction Probabilités ######################### :date: 2021-08-25 -:modified: 2021-11-12 +:modified: 2021-11-26 :authors: Benjamin Bertrand :tags: Probabilité :category: 2nd @@ -67,6 +67,11 @@ Le bilan pourra être fait à partir des productions des élèves. Cette étape pourra être faite en parallèle de l'étape 2 et de l'étape 3. +.. image:: ./3Pbis_Benfort.pdf + :height: 200px + :alt: Document présentation loi Benfort + + En groupe, on demande aux élèves de choisir un thème où l'on pourra trouver des quantités dépassant au moins 100. Par exemple, les prix dans un supermarché, le nombre d'abonné à des comptes de réseaux sociaux, les populations de pays... On imagine que l'on tire au hasard un élément de ce "thème" et que l'on regarde le premier chiffre de la quantités. Les élèves doivent alors décrire l'expérience aléatoire (les éléments de cette description pourront être discuté en groupe et en plénière) et proposer intuitivement une loi de probabilité pour cette expérience aléatoire. Chez eux, ils devront récolter en tout 100 de ces quantités par groupe. Au regard de ces données récoltés, ils devront critiquer la loi de probabilité intuité précédemment et en proposer une nouvelle basée sur leur données.